Axel Eggert, Director General of the European Steel Association, said “Member states overwhelmingly supported the imposition of these final measures in December 2018 – the publication of the measures in the Official Journal puts these definitive safeguards into force tomorrow. These measures are completely justified given the large-scale diversion of steel to the EU market, partly as a result of the impact of global overcapacity, distortions and the US’ section 232 measures”.
He said “This ‘relaxation’ of the measures is completely out of step with the evolution of the steel market, which is expected to be flat in 2019. 2016 and 2017 were joint record years, meaning the quota was already set at the maximum level reached in a global market suffering massive overcapacity and distortions in foreign producer countries. In 2018 imports rose 12% over and above the record 2017 level, even as domestic producers’ deliveries grew by a paltry 0.6%.This future relaxation of the quota could see the door being opened to even greater surges even as the market is expected to be flat.”
He said “This disproportionate change will only benefit importers who, in any case, have taken market share of 25% up from a historical 17% in just three years. This upsets the delicate balance otherwise established by the safeguards: The notion that EU steel users should be able to access traditional trade flows without local steel producers being flattened by deflected and cut-price steel products from outside the EU. Recent market and trade volatility have had a severe impact on the European steel industry. These safeguard measures must prove effective in achieving their aim, and their coherent long-term deployment is key to their succeeding.”
The structure of the final measures differs slightly from the provisional version. While the 0% tariff import quota remains, there are country-specific import quotas for large, traditional steel exporters to the EU and quarterly quotas for the remainder of countries that do not have their own. More worryingly for EUROFER, the quota, which was set at 100% of the average of 2015-2017 during the provisional stage, is immediately enlarged by 5% on the day of the imposition of the final measures. There is another upwards revision of 5% in July.
Steel consumption growth is expected to rise by just 0.5% in 2019, according to EUROFER’s latest Economic and Market Outlook. This means the rise of the quota to around 110% of actual historical imports is many multiples the growth rate of the market.
Source : STRATEGIC RESEARCH INSTITUTE, STEELGURU
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